These are the key results of the preliminary assessment for following-up on progress towards the country-wise allocated reduction targets (CART) for nutrients adopted by the 2013 Copenhagen HELCOM Ministerial Declaration.
CART for nitrogen and phosphorus have been expressed as nutrient input ceilings for each country by sub-basin. Poland accepts the Polish Country Allocated Reduction Targets as indicative due to the ongoing national consultations. Ref. Ministerial Declaration 2013, page 6, footnote 2.
Reductions still needed
Table 1. Total Nitrogen. Evaluation of fulfillment of CART Based on statistically estimated 2012 inputs (scroll down for full legend).
Table 2. Total Phosphorus. Evaluation of fulfillment of CART Based on statistically estimated 2012 inputs
*Yellow, orange and red shades: input
ceiling is exceeded with 95 % statistical certainty. The legend
illustrates the reductions left to the target as estimated in 2012,
compared to the net inputs of the same year.
countries" includes sources as the 20 EU countries not being HELCOM
Contracting Parties, countries outside EU including Belarus, Czech
Republic, Ukraine, North Sea shipping etc.
MAI is the maximum allowable inputs, according to the 2013 HELCOM Ministerial Declaration.
reviewing the input data used to evaluate fulfillment of CART and the
amount of remaining reductions, please see the data page (tables 5a-5p).
Based on estimation of normalized inputs of nitrogen and phosphorus from 1995 to 2012 (Tables 1 and 2) the following conclusion can be made with high statistical certainty:
Fulfillment of nitrogen input ceilings:
Trends in nitrogen inputs:
Fulfillment of phosphorus input ceilings:
Trends in phosphorus inputs: